Regular enrollment projection and review is an essential practice for all school district administrations. Enrollment figures support short and long-term planning for staffing, curriculum development, facilities and budget forecasting. Accurate enrollment figures provide valuable information for capital projects, redistricting, school closure, and merger studies. CASDA’s expert faculty members ensure that your administration is equipped with comprehensive knowledge of all relevant enrollment data to provide a foundation for prudent decision making.


CASDA analyzes at least 10 years of historical enrollment data, employing a cohort survival methodology to make accurate predictions for grade-by-grade enrollment trends in your district. Analyses consider:


  • Percentage of cohort progress by grade level.

  • Annual live birth rate in the district.

  • Local housing and commercial development trends.

  • Impact of private, parochial and charter school openings and closings.

  • Economic and demographic factors at work within the district.

  • Interviews with district staff, local planning officials and community members.

  • Thorough review of all relevant documents.



Accurate enrollment forecasting enables school districts to make informed decisions regarding staffing projections, budget planning, facilities usage, attendance zone redistricting, and transportation needs.  Special analyses can provide forecasting data down to grade and building levels. This knowledge allows administrators and School Boards to optimally leverage resources to meet the needs of students and the community.

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University at Albany 
1400 Washington Ave
Catskill B27
Albany, NY 12222  

© 2019 Capital Area School Development Association